Coin flip poll: toss a coin IRL, and let's see what the distribution looks like.
"Tails" came out ahead, and was actually in the lead the whole time. The gap closed to about 1% about half way, and then grew again. If it was the first option, I'd kind of think that people were just donkey voting, but maybe it'd smooth out again after a long enough time.
Someone please submit a patch to Mastodon that randomises the presented order of poll options, please.
@mike Full disclosure: Lacking cash, I tossed a non-coin flat thing that I scribbled “heads” and “tails” onto.
@futzle I think that's perfectly valid!
@stibbons I'm kinda guessing that if we get enough responses, any inaccuracy from non-traditional methods will balance out too.
@mike I'm concernedb that we haven't controlled for starting position. If you start at heads, do you get more heads or more tails?
@mike I dropped an appointment card edgeways down. Landed blank side up, so tails.
@mike I don't have any coins and I don't know how to use a computer, so I made a spinner out of office supplies and whatever other objects I could find at my desk
The small metal disc with the picture of a torch represents "heads", and the one with the picture of a man's face is "tails"
@matt I'm loving the creative solutions for generating a 50/50 chance.
@mike What's a coin? Or, for that matter, cash?
@mike Looking at the replies to this, I am feeling downright old fashioned about having a coin around that I could flip.
@mike looking for a seed for your PRNG, are you?
@bhtooefr just checking that the universe is calibrated correctly
@mike Wooo, my side is winning
@mike I just asked Siri to "toss a coin" and then reported its results.
@mike This is also useful with multi-sided die.
@mike I saw it at 50/50 at one point.
@pelagikat any recollection when? Closest I saw was 49/51, at around 100-ish votes.
@mike I think it was around one of the times you retooted it, so maybe at that same time.
@mike If it's any conciliation I actually tossed an actual $2, 2018 special release "Lest we Forget" coin.
@mike pretty close! (i was heads)
We woz robbed!!
@mike thank you for this demonstration of statistical significance (or not, as the case may be)
Consider this a friendly, local pub. Make yourself at home, bring your friends, have a good time! Meet new people, have a laugh, enjoy the ambience, and the Oxford commas.